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Kürzel: EUR/CHF· ISIN: EU0009654078 · Kursstand: 1,2344
Nach einer starken Aufwertung des schweizer Franken, verursacht durch hohe Mittelzuflüsse aus dem von Investoren als unsicher betrachteten europäischen Währungsraum, hatte die schweizer Nationalbank (SNB) erheblich mit den volkswirtschaftlichen Konsequenzen zu kämpfen.
Die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit im Bereich Export leidet schnell bei kurzfristig starken Aufwertungen der Landeswährung. Aktuell sieht die Lage wieder günstiger aus.
Anfang des Monats Juni zeichnete sich beim Währungspaar EUR/CHF die Chance auf einen Ausbruch über den steilen Abwärtstrend seit dem Hoch bei 1,2648 CHF an. Doch das Devisenpaar entschied sich für den Ausbruch unter 1,2322 CHF und so folgte entgegen der Erwartungen eine starke Abwertung bis 1,2219 CHF.
Tendenz
Seit dem Tiefpunkt bei 1,2220 CHF bewegt sich das Währungspaar wieder gen Norden und könnte deshalb oberhalb von 1,2365 CHF durchaus einen erneuten Anstieg in Richtung von 1,2450 bzw. 1,2648 CHF starten.
Unterhalb von 1,2253 CHF müsste man hingegen einen Test der Niveaus von 1,2220 bzw. 1,2128 CHF erwarten. Die psychologisch wichtige und runde Marke von 1,2000 CHF dürfte aufgrund der uneingeschränkten geldpolitischen Interventionsbereitschaft der schweizer Notenbank jedoch nicht zur Debatte stehen.
Währungspaar EUR/CHF im Tageschart
Charterstellung: MT4-JFD-Brokers
Offenlegung gemäß §34b WpHG wegen möglicher Interessenkonflikte: Der Autor ist in den besprochenen Wertpapieren bzw. Basiswerten zum Zeitpunkt der Veröffentlichung dieser Analyse nicht investiert.
