Chartanalyse EUR/HUF – Abwärtspotenzial bis mindestens …

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•   Per E-Mail an einen Freund senden

Das Währungspaar EUR/HUF, also Euro gegenüber dem ungarischen Forint, kennzeichnet sich unter anderem durch seine enorme Tagesspanne.

Mehrere hundert Pips an einem Tag sind nicht selten zu beobachten und gerade aus diesem Grund verspricht gerade ein solches volatiles Devisenpaar interessante Möglichkeiten – vorausgesetzt man beachtet die strenge Anwendung von korrektem Money- und Riskomanagements. Derzeit könnte sich in diesem Szenario durchaus weiteres Abwärtsmomentum entwickeln.

Zu beachten gilt die heute Nachmittag um 14:00 Uhr anstehende Zinsentscheidung der ungarischen Notenbank (Magyar Nemzeti Bank = MNB). Analysten erwarten hierbei die elfte Zinssenkung in Folge. Derzeit notiert der Leitzins noch bei 4,50 Prozent und somit auf einem im internationalen Vergleich noch immer recht hohen Niveau. Der ungarischen Rezession soll damit Einhalt geboten werden.
 

Währungspaar EUR/HUF im Wochenchart

 

Tendenz

Die runde und wichtige Preismarke von 300,00 HUF verhindert unlängst die Fortsetzung des Erholungsimpulses seit dem letzten Verlaufstief in der Region um 290,00 HUF. Die letzten drei Tage verhält sich EUR/HUF bereit weniger stark. So könnte es durchaus weiter in Richtung Süden gehen. Die mögliche Zielzone einer solchen Bewegung findet sich im Bereich von 287,00 bis 290,00 HUF.

Kommt es jedoch unerwartet zu einem Anstieg über die Marke von 301,50 HUF hinaus, so dürften die Verkäufer nervös werden. Zugewinne bis 305,00 und darüber bis über das Niveau von 308,00 HUF wären in der Konsequenz dann nämlich durchaus zu erwarten.

 

Offenlegung gemäß §34b WpHG wegen möglicher Interessenkonflikte: Der Autor ist in den besprochenen Wertpapieren bzw. Basiswerten zum Zeitpunkt der Veröffentlichung dieser Analyse nicht investiert.