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Update: DAX
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So läuft das nun mal. Die jüngste Entwicklung des DAX beweist mal wieder, dass es sich bei der Anwendung von Charttechnik lediglich um wahrscheinliche Prognosen handelt. In manchen Fällen entwickelt sich aber dann doch alles etwas anders. Nachdem die SKS-Formation (siehe letzter Artikel) nach oben aufgelöst wurde – sich also als ungültig erwiesen hat – stieg der Deutsche Aktienindex an 5 Tagen um über 400 Zähler. Vermutlich liegt das an den zahlreichen Shortpositionen, die durch die SKS-Formationen ...
Trendwendeformationen: Schulter-Kopf-Schulter
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Die Schulter-Kopf-Schulter Formation (SKS) ist die wichtigste Trendwendeformation überhaupt. Sie tritt typischerweise am Ende eines Aufwärtstrends auf. Sie kann jedoch auch gespiegelt am Ende eines Abwärtstrends aufkommen als inverse SKS-Formation. Ablauf (Aufwärtstrend vorausgesetzt): 1. Bildung eines Hochs (1) bei steigendem Volumen 2. Korrektur zum Zwischentief (2) 3. Aufwärtsbewegung zum neuen Hochpunkt / Kopf ...
Wann beginnt der Sinkflug?
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Beim heutigen Treffen am 06.05.2009 stand die technische Analyse des DAX auf dem Programm. Die Frage, die wir uns dabei stellten, ist, wann der DAX seinen rasanten Aufwärtstrend beendet und welche geeigneten Produkte es gibt um an einem Absacken zu profitieren. Um dies besser beurteilen zu können erstellten wir folgende Chartanalyse (zur Vergrößerung klicken): Wir kamen zu dem Schluss das es nicht mehr lange dauern kann, da sehr viele Indizien dagegen Sprechen:
Charttechnik á la HSBC
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Sehr interessant präsentiert sich die aktuelle Chartkonstellation der K+S-Aktie. Mit dem Sprung auf 47,47 EUR gelang dem Papier Mitte April ein neues Jahreshoch. Das bis dato gültige Pendant vom Februar bei 45,75 EUR musste aber alsbald wieder preisgeben werden, so dass sich die Gefahr eines Fehlausbruchs ergibt. Besondere Beachtung verdient dieses Phänomen, da die Aktie mit der fallenden 200-Tages-Linie (akt. bei 46,35 EUR) eine bedeutende Hürde unmittelbar vor der Brust hat.